Wild Card Playoff Preview and Picks
First of all, thanks to the referee/Shane Graham combo below in Wk 4 that hit a FG in OT versus the Browns that was the key Miracle Cover in my Browns Under 5.5 bet (Season review here). oddly, I really liked the way Mangini and Co. played and the end of the year and profited off of it as well, so it worked for both sides.
Congrats to Alabama, who somehow held on and covered the 3.5-4.5 vs Texas in the BCS Title game. Lou made a good point……did ANYONE bet on Texas except for alumni and those from the state? Maybe they major in Cummunications like the Jeron Johnson of Boise State:
Here is video of a crazy ending to the Florida/NC State Hoops this week
BTW, make sure to get your picks into Miracle Covers before Saturday 4:30, we have about 6 people so far. Here are my picks for the week:
Bengals -2.5 vs Jets
Everyone and their mom loves the Jets, and I am with Simmons that taking a rookie QB on the road is not the best thing, I learned that last year backing up the truck on Matt Ryan in Arizona. I mean, the Jets do have the better overall team, but if they fall 10-0 on the road in a VERY cold, windy, and hostile Bengals home crowd, I just don’t see it in Sanchez to give them the throws they need to beat Cincy, even as bad as Cincy looked last week. Plus everyone loading up on the Jets in good pick’em karma, IMO.
Dallas -4 vs Philly
I really don’t want to pick the game. The thought of having to decide whether to pick a game where my choices of teams are coached by Andy Reid or Wade Phillips makes me have seizures. Dallas has dominated Philly so far but it is so hard to win 3 times in a row versus another team. But the Jackson injury at center for the Eagles I think is a huge loss because he’d been calling the protections for 7 years straight, and now it’s some rookie who also BTW has to block Jay Ratliff. I don’t like putting money anywhere near a team who is coached by a “Phillips”, it’s a heart attack waiting to happen, but Dallas has played their best ball going into the playoffs, and that’s what you look for in betting.
NE -3 vs Baltimore
I’ll be at this one, and I think the Pats can muster up some Foxboro magic despite losing Welker to eek this out at home. Flacco has played like crap since Green Bay game and the Ravens and bengals are the only two teams who can NOT take advantage of the Pats shitty secondary because of their equally-as-shitty WR corps. Belichick usually takes away what you do well, and that’s Ray Rice for the Ravens. Take him out, and the Pats should win with home cooking behind them and rally around Wes.
Green Bay +1 @ Arizona
Listen to the Bill Simmons’ Playoff preview podcast and Mike Lombardi made some real good points on how you can take away things from a preseason game and a somewhat of a preseason game in Green Bay’s 67-3 total drubbing of the Cardinals in their last 2 ballgames. Essentially, the Packers can do whatever they want on both lines of scrimmage, meaning Warner might get pressured into some turnovers. The Packers 3-4 defense scheme matches up well vs what the Cardinals do, Clay Matthews had 6 pressures last week alone. The Cardinals may not have Boldin either. Plus I love taking Aaron Rodgers versus a average defense in a dome. The only thing that worries me about Green Bay: after Minnesota, they have the worst special teams in the playoffs. That and the “Arizona is an NBA team” factor as like last year when everyone loaded up against them, they are the only team in football history who can turn the switch on and off from F-level team to SB contender.
