Site Name Change
Van Tran while visiting the site and viewing Lou’s most recent picks
“Lou should change the name to ‘Miracle Covers: Losing at Sports.'”
Pastability, let’s take a look at some things…
It was over the Thanksgiving holiday when I remembered one of my favored forms of NFL gambling, which is to parlay the money line on two or three heavily favored teams. Unfortunately it seems that Allen Gowin’s bookie does not really do money line bets which is a shame, but here is an idea for Sunday if you have such capabilities.
Cincinnati, Philadelphia, San Diego
With the help of our friends at parlaycalculator.com, you are getting essentially a 2/3 return on bets (one hundred nets you 163 and change). A couple of thoughts on this.
* This may seem obvious as this is a bet centered entirely on winning the game and not covering a spread, but you want teams involved where you say to yourself, “I’m not sure on what’s going to happen, but I simply do not see X losing this game.” Going to the example of this Thanksgiving, Green Bay and Dallas looked very strong to win the game. Some may at that point may have felt like getting a better return on their money by throwing in a Giant addition, but do you really want to bank on an essentially .500 team on the road against a team with a winning record? This may wreak of hindsight but whatever. People might object here that I did not include two heavy home favorites, Minn and Atlanta, in the parlay. But the problem is I could see the Bears and/or the Bucs winning. If you don’t, throw the fuckers in, but for me, it doesn’t pass the crucial test.
* I am not a huge fan of this strategy for college games. The NFL is crazy enough, but when you add nineteen year old qbs and kickers, football can escalate to a new level of weird. Just see some of USC’s recent games in the last few years. However, if you are looking for some recommendations I would stick with proven programs like Boise State (not when they’re 40 pt favorites). Right now on television I am watching Pitt/W Va. How shocking was that a few years ago when Pitt won in West Virginia with W Va playing for the BCS championship? I would have bet my house on that money line.
Some thoughts on the lines this weekend…
I am not guaranteeing I am putting money on any of these games, just some thoughts.
Clemson and Tennessee only giving up three points to South Carolina and Kentucky respectively seems a bit outrageous to me. I might have to parlay that.
I do not have any figures in front of me but I bet there is a decent amount of unbiased money going on the Panthers against the Jets. Carolina is playing very well and 5 Ints are quickly becoming known as “The Dirty Sanchez.” But I like the Jets this week. The Jets are giving three points at home to a hot Carolina team, but the Jets have a very solid defense and Jake Delhomme is due to lay an atomic bomb this week after a month of very good football.
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As an update, I tried to bet south carolina but figured i couldnt bet against the cocks using allen gowin’s bookie. stuck with tennessee who had a mini miracle cover, gambling gods with me at the moment. LETS GO JETS