Wild Card Weekend
My plays are in BOLD, but we also will pick all the games here:
Carolina +10.5 -115
I’ve seen as low as +9… this really should be at +7. Carolina beat them in Charlotte earlier in the year, and the Rams playing a relatively early East Coast start, let crappy teams hang around in games. I also like Tetairoa McMillan Receptions OVER 4.5 +102.
Chicago +1.5
This was a pick’em at some point… I’d want to usually hammer the Bears with the home field and coach advantage, and the Packers are banged up and limped into the playoffs. I just can’t trust the QB, so putting Bears in +145 teaser instead with CAR +10.5 and JAX +1.5 as all 3 games should be close, so I also like UNDER 46.5. I do like Caleb Williams Rushing Yards OVER 22.5 -118.
Jacksonville +1 (-114)
I’ve seen go both ways, from BUF -1.5 to PK to now JAX -1.5. Despite having the better QB, I just think Jacksonville is the better team. Plus ask any Bills fan, Jacksonville is a house of horrors for the Bills, who have never won there. And there’s also the specter on Sean McDermott having the recently fired John Harbaugh over his head taking his job if he loses.
San Francisco +6 -110
Should be around +3 as Philly isn’t that better over most of this tournament field, even against a banged up 49ers squad. Sirianni also has potential specter of Harbaugh coming if he loses this game; his team hates him.
New England -3.5 -110
Pats at home on cold weather game vs banged up Chargers squad. Pats are banged up too, especially at WR and DE, but unless Maye craps his pants in his first playoff game, the QB and coaching advantage should see them through. I do like Justin Herbert Rushing Yards OVER 29.5 -114 as Patriots have issues guarding mesh on the edges and Chargers with banged up OL will give up pressures and have hard time running the ball with the RB, especially if Hampton doesn’t play.
Houston -3 -107
Dome team on the road in the cold, but Houston has the best defense in the field, the Steelers backed into the playoffs, and according to a local Steelers fan I know, Aaron Rodgers may or may not be on menopause. I’ll prob end up chopping this one, TBH. I also like DK Metcalf Receptions UNDER 4.5 -170.
Week 18 NFL
DAL -3 (-110)
Hedge vs our season 7.5 bet, we stand to chop if DAL loses. And they might to this shit Giants team who should lose for a chance at the #1 pick.
NO +4.5 (-110)
Should be 3, even with Saints injuries, in this darby. The NFC South week 18 comedy resulting from this game is hilarious. I hope it ties.
CLE at CIN OVER 46.5 (-105)
This game will be a shitshow.
PARLAY +275: NE -570, DEN -800, KC -275, DAL -220, BUF -355
Congrats to Shedeur Sanders, who at -435 today to throw a pick, beat the famous Jameis zone at -395 (while at TB)… a new record! We’ll be parlaying another INT with him today (4 weeks in a row!). Most props won’t be available until later today due to inactives/proposed load management.
PROPS: Shedeur Sanders -435 & Riley Leonard -182 & Jared Goff +100 @ +281; C.J. Stroud Pass Attempts UNDER 29.5 -114; Tony Pollard Rushing Yards OVER 76 -114; Hollywood Brown ANYTIME TD +250; Hunter Henry Receptions OVER 4.5 +111
DFS:
Week 17 NFL
SF -3 (-110)
NY Jets +13.5 (-110)
ARI at CIN UNDER 53 (-110)
TB at MIA OVER 44 (-105)
TEASER +145: CIN -7, TEN +1.5, LAR -7.5
PROPS: Philip Rivers Passing Yards OVER 206.5 -120; Hunter Henry AT LEAST 5 Receptions EVEN: Shadeur Sanders & Bryce Young INT OVER 0.5 +162
Week 16 NFL
Detroit -7 (-110)
Detroit 14-1 ATS when coming off a loss
Houston -14.5 (-105)
Houston may have an all-time defense. The Raiders may have an all time late season blow up.
Titans ML +150
Getting odds against Minshew? I’m in.
CIN at MIA OVER 48 (-110)
These defenses stink.
PROPS: Demario Davis AT LEAST 9 tackles -103; Josh Allen AT LEAST 1 TD -112; Geno Smith Longest Pass Completion UNDER 29.5 -110; Ashton Jeanty Rushing Yards UNDER 46.5 -120; Shadeur Sanders -205 & Geno Smith -190 INT OVER @ +125
DFS:
Week 15 NFL
CLE at CHI UNDER 39 -110
Now at 38. Crappy weather, crappy teams, crappy quarterbacks.
Seattle -13.5 -110
Now at 14. Whether it’s a rookie QB making his first start, or a 44 year old guy literally off his couch… Seahawks will again take advantage of their easy schedule.
LA Chargers +6 -115
I know the Chargers are banged up but… did the books watch KC play last week? They aren’t 6 points better than 95% of the league right now.
DET at LA Rams OVER 54.5
PROPS: Sam Darnold INT UNDER 0.5 -125; Amon-Ra St. Brown AT LEAST 6 Receptions & Puka Nacua AT LEAST 7 Receptions -170; Caleb Williams Attempts UNDER 29.5 -120; Caleb Williams Rushing Yards OVER 127.5 -135; Trevor Lawrence INT OVER 0.5 +125
DFS:
NFL Week 14
PIT at BAL UNDER 43 -110
Both teams banged up, kinda suck, and this game historically is a rock fight. The AFC North sucks in general; I took Steelers UNDER 8.5 for the season and I think 8-9 by PIT/CIN/BAL can actually win that division lmao
New Orleans +7.5 -110
Saints have been feisty as of late, and the Bucs keep teams in games, getting 63% of the money today. So far in 2025, teams drawing 60% or more of picks are 40-55-1 ATS (42%)
LA Rams -9 -110
Bounce back game against a tanking team
CIN at BUF UNDER 54.5 -110
It’s snowing, and both teams’ defenses have played better recently.
TEASER +150: DEN -7.5, LAR -8.5, JAX +2
PROPS: Puka Nacua Receptions OVER 7.5 -135; Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards UNDER 25.5 -105; Cam Ward & Shadeur Sanders INT OVER 0.5 +261; Tyrod Taylor Passing Attempts UNDER 28.5 -110; Chase Brown ANYTIME TD +120; Kirk Cousins INT OVER 0.5 -115; Devaughn Vele Receptions AT LEAST 4 +102
DFS:
Week 12 NFL
Detroit -10 (-110)
Now at -14. We all know Detroit’s prowess vs the spread after a loss, especially against a crappy Giants team who struggles vs the run. Also taking Lions 1Q at -3 (-120).
NE at CIN OVER 51 -110
Should be points in this one. Also taking Cincinnati first to score at +120 because the Patriots always give up a TD on the first drive.
NY Jets +14 -110
Ravens and John Harbaugh are crappy vs big spreads at home when they are right, nevermind when they are scuffling as they are this season.
Las Vegas -3.5 (EVEN)
Held my noise as I bet this, but we are just gonna keep betting against CLE QB Shadeur Sanders until otherwise.
ATL at NO UNDER 41 -110
Darby in thee Dome… always a rock fight, especially with these shitty, banged up offenses.
TEASER +150: NO +1.5, NE -7, LAR -6.5
PROPS: Jahmyr Gibbs 2 TD +155; David Montgomery Rushing Yards OVER 52.5 -130; Drake Maye Rushing Yards OVER 25.5 -120; Shadeur Sanders Passing Attempts UNDER 29.5 -150; Brandon Aubrey Kicking Points OVER 7.5 -130; Saquon Barkley Receptions OVER 2.5 -110; Shadeur Sanders & Jameis Winston to Throw INT +127
DFS:
NFL Week 11 & 112th Coupe de Grey
NY Giants +7 (-105)
In Jameis I trust… more like Green Bay isn’t 7 points better than anybody right now.
Tampa +6 -105
SF -3.5 -120
CHI at MIN OVER 48 -110
CIN at PIT 1H UNDER 24 -110
TEN +215 ML
TEASER +150: WAS +2.5, BAL -7.5, DET +2.5
PROPS: Saquon Barkley Receptions OVER 2.5 -125; Puka Nacua Receptions OVER 7.5 -110; Caleb Williams Rushing Yards OVER 23.5 -120; Bo Nix Completions UNDER 21.5 -115; Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards OVER 36.5 -125; Jason Myers Kicking Points OVER 7.5 -125
DFS:
112th Grey Cup: Montreal ML +135
Week 10 NFL
Detroit -7 (-120)
Detroit is like 12-0-1 ATS after a loss in the last few years. They lost a tough divisional matchup last week, and will want to extract revenge vs a very banged up Washington team.
Tampa Bay -3 (EVEN)
Banged up Pats streak ends today in Tampa.
Jacksonville at Houston UNDER 38(-115)
Houston home UNDER has been pretty consistent this year with Houston’s #2 defense. Plus, no Stroud and it’s Texans vs Jags…you know this game is going to suck.
Pittsburgh +125
Defacto home game in LA for Steelers vs a Chargers team missing both their tackles.
TEASER +150: DET -7, JAX +1, PHI +2
PROPS: Christian McCaffrey Receptions OVER 5.5 -135; Puka Nacua Receptions OVER 7.5 -135; Drake Maye Rushing Yards OVER 28.5 -130; Cade Otton Receptions OVER 4.5 +110; Jameson Williams ANYTIME TD +150; Bryce Young Completions UNDER 18.5 -135; Tyler Shough Completions UNDER 19.5 -150
DFS:
Week 9 NFL
Colts at Steelers OVER 50.5 -110
Colts offense is best in the league; the Steelers’ defense is banged up and stinks even when healthy.
Carolina 1H +7 -115
Green Bay always starts slow and keeps bad teams hanging around too long.
Cincinnati ML +135
Bengals beat this shitty Bears team, right?
TEASER +150: NE -5.5, CIN +2.5, BUF +2
PROPS: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards OVER 13/5 -115; Cam Ward INT OVER 0.5 -165; Puka Nacua Receptions OVER 7.5 -145; Chris Olave Receptions OVER 5.5 -130; Jameson Williams ANYTIME TD +185; Keon Coleman Receptions UNDER 3.5 -115; Ka’imi Fairbairn Kicking Points OVER 7.5 -135
DFS:
