NFL Week 12 Early Leans & Stats of the Week
Stat #1: I fail at NFL this year. Anyone picking exactly opposite of me this season would be +34 units through 11 weeks which has to be some kind of record. I’m leaning toward being thankful I’m not losing more money and not even betting this week. And that’s before looking at the lines.
2. Since starting 6-0 the Denver Broncos have scored 37 points.
2b. The Cleveland Browns scored 37 points on Sunday. They had zero turnovers for the first time in a year.
3. The Cleveland Browns last 16 games by points scored (obviously going back to last season): 6, 6, 9, 10, 0, 0, 20, 6, 3, 20, 6, 14, 3, 6, 0, 37
4. Three teams are unbeaten on the road this season, The 10-0 Saints and Colts and the 7-3 Arizona Cardinals.
4b. Arizona’s Tim Hightower is 2nd in the NFL in receptions by a running back (47) behind Ray Rice (56).
5. The New Orleans Saints lead all NFL defenses in takeaways with 29. The next closest team is the Eagles with 23. This will be mentioned approximately a dozen times during Monday night’s Pats-Saints game.
6. The Jacksonville Jaguars are 6-4 despite having a league low 10 sacks. Denver Broncos DE Elvis Dumervil leads the NFL with 12.
7. I imagine this is similar for all quarterbacks, but Jay Cutler for his career is 13-23 when throwing an interception and 8-4 when he does not. With the Bears, those numbers are 2-6 and 2-0 respectively. Cutler has thrown at least one pick in his last six games, including pulling off a Dirty Sanchez against San Francisco two weeks back. He leads the NFL with 18 INTs on the season.
8. Vikings QB Brett Favre has thrown only 3 interceptions all season. For his career, Favre averages an INT for every 33 pass attempts. This season, that ratio is 1 for every 103.
9. The Pittsburgh Steelers had 515 total yards on offense in their loss to the Chiefs on Sunday.
10. Buffalo’s Terrell Owens had 281 yards receiving in his first 8 games as a Bill. He’s doubled that total in his last two games. This play had a lot to do with it:
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It is quickly approaching money time. Crank up Mendenhall and the ground game. The dividion can still be won. Play sonme smash mouth football and it should all work out.