Tag: Boxing
Pacquiao vs Thurman and UFC San Antonio
UFC San Antonio:
Juan Adams -115
I hope he launches Greg Hardy into the next dimension
Pacquiao vs Thurman:
Fight Goes the Distance – Yes @ -350
Pacquiao wins in a decision +110
Pacquiao is just trying to rack up the wins to force a second Mayweather fight (who also may need it himself because there are rumors he’s running out of money…again), he has gone the distance 8 out of the last 10 times. Thurman used to be a bruiser but his last 5 fights have gone to decision and he’s lost a bit of power in age. This should be an interesting fight and an interesting scorecard, but I like Manny in a decision.
Belmont Stakes, UFC 238, MLB
MLB:
Cubs vs Cards OVER 7.5 (EVEN)
Belmont Stakes:
Sir Winston 12/1
War of Will 2/1
UFC 238:
Tatiana Suarez Wins by Inside Distance -140
Tony Ferguson wins by submission +480
PARLAY BOXING + UFC (-277):
Tatiana Suarez (-750)
Valentina Shevchenko (-1100)
Gennady Golovkin (-3500)
Robson Conceicao (-5000)
Ali Akhmedov (-3500)
Israil Madrimov (-5000)
Kentucky Derby, Canelo vs Jacobs thoughts
Kentucky Derby:
To win: Game Winner (5/1)
To win: Cutting Humor 30-1
Canelo vs Jacobs:
Fight Rounds OVER 10.5 @ -250
This should be a fun fight; these guys went at each other in the weigh-ins yesterday but both are durable, tough guys who are itching to be the best pound-for-pound middleweight in a 12 round classic. The “Fight Goes the Distance” prop is at -230 not far off from the OVER so I took a little more juice just in case of a late flurry KO. I do like Canelo in a decision as the fight is in Vegas on Cinco De Mayo so he’ll have the home crowd.
UFC OTTAWA:
DEREK BRUNSON VS ELIAS THEODOROU – Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ -200
Brad Katona +145
Saturday St. Pattys Warm Up
NCAA is next week! The most wondering degen time of year!
A few plays for today:
UFC:
Till vs Masvidal – Fight Will Go the Distance – Yes @ -120
Boxing:
Spence vs Garcia – Fight Will Go the Distance – Yes @ -120
This should be a good 12 round war between two of the best boxers today. Watch it.
AAF Special:
Memphis at Salt Lake City UNDER 40 -110
Rios vs Soto and an AAF play
Rios vs Soto OVER Rounds 9.5 @ -166
AAF:
San Antonio Commanders at San Diego Fleet UNDER 43.5 (-115)
Have been doing well betting AAF UNDERS so far…..the only ones I have bet over on are the games Steve Spurrier is involved in. He’s calling double reverse passes on the 2nd down of game clock killing drives..it’s fun stuff. Also, Christian Hackenberg is a QB (Memphis), and yeah, he sucks.
NFL Championship Weekend, Broner vs Pac-Man, and ESPN+UFC thoughts
My quest to go undefeated in the playoffs was for naught last week…..fucking Chargers. Should of known better.
NFL:
Kansas City -2.5
The Pats losing the game in Miami on that wild ending play cost them having this game on the road, and it will probably cost them this game here. The Pats’ offense is just different on natural grass, and so is the puddle turd kicker who has missed FG/XP in his last 3 Super Bowls and AFC Title games on the road. Eric Berry is back for this game, and he should take care of an aging Gronkowski. I also like the UNDER at 55.
New Orleans -3
Picked them to win the NFC before the year…picked them before the playoffs…and I am sticking with it. The Rams will miss Cooper Kupp this game….I still predict a high scoring affair, and like OVER 57 (-105)
BOXING:
Broner vs Pacquiao Fight Will Go the Distance – YES -230
This should be a snooze fest…do like Pac Man in a decision
UFC on ESPN+
Hernandez vs Cerrone Under Rounds 1.5 (+115)
These two have been talking shit all week. Both want a KO/sub to vault up the rankings for a title fight or a McGregor fight.
Week 13 NFL, SEC Championship, and Wilder/Fury
Arizona +14
Way too many points. Green Bay is playing like ass and they may hate their coach…and the QB, who has also had a bad year for his standards and also hates the coach. Also, Arizona’s front 4 is pretty fucking good…their offense is wretched, however.
Indianapolis -4.5
Luck vs Kessler. I choose Luck.
Jets at Titans Under 40.5 (-110)
Don’t watch this game
TEASER +130
New England Patriots -5
Houston Texans -6
Seattle Seahawks -10
DFS:
NCAA:
Alabama -12 (-110)
BOXING:
Wilder -160
I think this will be a fight where Fury, who had the moment of his life a few years ago with a win vs Klitschko, age and wear and tear shows vs a more athletic and powerful fighter. Fury is a load; he is the biggest man in the division but he is coming off various cocaine binges, gaining a shit ton of weight, and a mental health issue with 2 comeback KO wins vs heavyweight cans. If Fury was in form, he may of had a better shot….but Wilder has stayed active, and he knows a win here will guarantee a big payday vs Anthony Joshua to unify the heavyweight title and a chance to be ‘the baddest man in the world”. I like Wilder by either decision or a 11th round KO.
Final Four and Monster Parlay
Final Four:
I have a chance for some big bucks in two bracket pools I am in, and I basically need a Kansas vs Loyola Final to hit the 777. So we got some hedge money today!
Michigan ML -255
TEASER: Michigan -5.5 and Villanova -5 @ EVEN
Parlay +474
Anthony Joshua-700
Arizona Diamondbacks-150
Golden State Warriors-420
Michigan -255
Manchester City-300
Real Madrid-320
Spooky Saturday
CFL:
Eskimos vs Calgary Over 54 (-105)
MLB:
Astros vs Dodgers Over 8.5 (-115)
UFC:
Demian Maia +105
PARLAY (+151):
Maia +105 (UFC)
Lineker -500 (UFC)
Joshua -5000 (Boxing)
GGG vs Canelo
GGG vs Canelo
I have no major thoughts tonight….it should be a great fight between two warriors who, I think, take it the distance. I am making a small play at -130 Fight Goes the Distance as I think this should be at around -175 or so. Canelo at +145 is OK value considering you are getting odds on an essential coinflip.
CFL BONUS:
Argos v Eskimos Over 52
