Category: Uncategorized
Tuesday Updates
Good day overall yesterday as Washington was the only loser of the four plays. Columbus cruised 6-0 and both unders hit, though in the Syracuse game, it was only by a single point. I need to change my model very slightly to account for the possibility of overtime based on the point spread (closer spread = higher likelihood of OT). It’s safer to play an under in a game like OSU and American, I just need to figure out by how much.
Totals are not yet out for college hoops as that’s the only sport really going today. NHL and College Football have single likely ungambleable games.
NCAA hoops Sides (Not for real $) 1-5-2 -4.5
NCAA Hoops Totals are 5-1 +3.9
NCAA Football: 10-9 +0.53
NFL Teasers 1-4 -3.2
NHL 11-8 +7.27
UPDATE: Single hoops total for tonight. Cal/Syracuse UNDER 135
NFL: 10-7 +3.77
Wednesday
Not much doing for me the past week. Kudos to Pat for running the liveblog for an impressive 24 hours. I will attempt to get in on betting basketball at some point. My current spreadsheet model is pretty garbage and I’m having a hard time getting old point spread data imported, so anything for now is going to be testing more than anything else.
In housekeeping, NFL and NCAA turned out to be mediocre after winners all around on Thursday and our NHL play was a loser as well. There were no hockey plays on Monday or Tuesday, and none again today despite all the teams being in action.
NFL 7-4 +1.91
NFL Teasers 1-2 -1.2
NCAA 6-8 -2.37
NHL 7-6 +3.56
Nothing Today
No plays in hockey or tackle football and nothing even close. All winners yesterday.
NCAA 6-7 -1.34
NFL 6-3 +2.01
NHL 7-5 +4.56
Several games look promising for tomorrow’s college slate but NFL is not promising. Nothing much out there at last check. Not that a 1-0 week is anything to be ashamed of :)
The Worst Day of the Year
It’s about 100 degrees outside and there are zero major sporting events going on. 0-2 in minor plays yesterday and I’m debating whether to count them on my record for the season. I really, really want to take New England away to Colorado in MLS tonight, but I have a variable that is showing on my spreadsheet which is a big giant negative so I have to pass. There’s no baseball tomorrow either for anyone wondering because a few years ago some teams started bitching and moaning that they only got three days off while other teams got four, so now everyone starts again on Friday and the World Series ends in November. NFL win totals and futures are generally up everywhere, but I’ll leave that to Pat to cover as I haven’t read or looked at anything as I’ve been building all of these baseball and soccer models since January. And by models I mean spreadsheets because that’s how I roll.
Da Popa
| Thu 2/28 | Who will be the next Pope? (all-in) | |
| 03:00 AM | 1051 Marc Ouellet | +485 |
| 1052 Peter Turkson | +304 | |
| 1053 Francis Arinze | +1005 | |
| 1054 Angelo Scola | +480 | |
| 1055 Leonardo Sandri | +1241 | |
| 1056 Gianfranco Ravasi | +1634 | |
| 1057 Oscar Rodriguez Maradiaga | +1634 | |
| 1058 Angelo Bagnasco | +1417 | |
| 1059 Jean-Louis Pierre Tauran | +1789 | |
| 1060 Tarcisio Bertone | +394 | |
