Category: UFC

NFL Title Games and UFC 246

Titans +7.5 (-120)

A bit of a hedge with my Chiefs to win AFC +230 bet….but the Titans have been on fire since starting Ryan Tannenhill (who I said right here on the miracle covers podcast should of started the season). So mad I didn’t take the 55-1 Super Bowl bet. They have a chance to win this game (ML +260), especially with the way Derrick Henry is running, WR (and Snow Leopard All Star) Adam Humhpries is back, and how the Chiefs are banged up defensively (they will greatly miss a 100% Chris Jones). They also have some terrible CB play at times, and I think the Titans can hit some big plays. Not to say that Andy Reid and Mahomes can’t win in a thriller; the Chiefs are notorious to torture their fans at home during the playoffs and both are really due. Should be a close, fun game.

49ers -7.5 (-105)

The only edge the Packers have is at QB, and that’s not a lot because they have been winning without Rodgers playing out of his mind, he’s played just good enough. The Packers’ run defense stinks, they lost to the 49ers 37-8 earlier in the year, and they haven’t played a full 60 min all year. I just hope Jimmy G doesn’t fuck this up too badly, he will throw you the ball 2-3 times a game. I might also take the 49ers alternate line of -10 at +115, and I am also taking the prop of Jimmy G to run OVER 4.5 yards at -105.

UFC 246:

Roxanne Modafferi +525
Tim Elliot vs Akar Askarov Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ -140
Cowboy Cerrone to win by submission +525

Army/Navy and UFC 245

Army vs Navy UNDER 41 (-105)

This has hit 9 out of the last 11 meetings. Also gonna be raining in Philly today

UFC 245:

Ben Saunders +275

Kamaru Usman wins by Decision EVEN

UFC 244 and NBA

NBA:

Memphis +3

UFC 244:

Lewis -105

Diaz +130

NFL tomorrow

Pacquiao vs Thurman and UFC San Antonio

UFC San Antonio:

Juan Adams -115

I hope he launches Greg Hardy into the next dimension

Pacquiao vs Thurman:

Fight Goes the Distance – Yes @ -350
Pacquiao wins in a decision +110

Pacquiao is just trying to rack up the wins to force a second Mayweather fight (who also may need it himself because there are rumors he’s running out of money…again), he has gone the distance 8 out of the last 10 times. Thurman used to be a bruiser but his last 5 fights have gone to decision and he’s lost a bit of power in age. This should be an interesting fight and an interesting scorecard, but I like Manny in a decision.

Tags :

Belmont Stakes, UFC 238, MLB

MLB:

Cubs vs Cards OVER 7.5 (EVEN)

Belmont Stakes:

Sir Winston 12/1
War of Will 2/1

UFC 238:

Tatiana Suarez Wins by Inside Distance -140
Tony Ferguson wins by submission +480

PARLAY BOXING + UFC (-277):

Tatiana Suarez (-750)
Valentina Shevchenko (-1100)
Gennady Golovkin (-3500)
Robson Conceicao (-5000)
Ali Akhmedov (-3500)
Israil Madrimov (-5000)

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Kentucky Derby, Canelo vs Jacobs thoughts

Kentucky Derby:

To win: Game Winner (5/1)
To win: Cutting Humor 30-1

Canelo vs Jacobs:
Fight Rounds OVER 10.5 @ -250

This should be a fun fight; these guys went at each other in the weigh-ins yesterday but both are durable, tough guys who are itching to be the best pound-for-pound middleweight in a 12 round classic. The “Fight Goes the Distance” prop is at -230 not far off from the OVER so I took a little more juice just in case of a late flurry KO. I do like Canelo in a decision as the fight is in Vegas on Cinco De Mayo so he’ll have the home crowd.

UFC OTTAWA:

DEREK BRUNSON VS ELIAS THEODOROU – Fight Goes the Distance – YES @ -200
Brad Katona +145

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Saturday St. Pattys Warm Up

NCAA is next week! The most wondering degen time of year!

A few plays for today:

UFC:

Till vs Masvidal – Fight Will Go the Distance – Yes @ -120

Boxing:

Spence vs Garcia – Fight Will Go the Distance – Yes @ -120

This should be a good 12 round war between two of the best boxers today. Watch it.

AAF Special:

Memphis at Salt Lake City UNDER 40 -110

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UFC 234

Adesanya vs Anderson Silva
Fight goes the Distance – Yes @ +115

Alvey vs Crute
Fight goes the Distance – Yes @ -115

NFL Championship Weekend, Broner vs Pac-Man, and ESPN+UFC thoughts

My quest to go undefeated in the playoffs was for naught last week…..fucking Chargers. Should of known better.

NFL:

Kansas City -2.5

The Pats losing the game in Miami on that wild ending play cost them having this game on the road, and it will probably cost them this game here. The Pats’ offense is just different on natural grass, and so is the puddle turd kicker who has missed FG/XP in his last 3 Super Bowls and AFC Title games on the road. Eric Berry is back for this game, and he should take care of an aging Gronkowski. I also like the UNDER at 55.

New Orleans -3

Picked them to win the NFC before the year…picked them before the playoffs…and I am sticking with it. The Rams will miss Cooper Kupp this game….I still predict a high scoring affair, and like OVER 57 (-105)

BOXING:

Broner vs Pacquiao Fight Will Go the Distance – YES -230

This should be a snooze fest…do like Pac Man in a decision

UFC on ESPN+

Hernandez vs Cerrone Under Rounds 1.5 (+115)

These two have been talking shit all week. Both want a KO/sub to vault up the rankings for a title fight or a McGregor fight.

Tags :

Week 14 NFL, Army/Navy Under, UFC 231

NFL:

Oakland +10.5 (-105)

We have been betting against Oakland all year, including just shipping the Under season total (7.5 – thanks Lou!), but they are 2 in their last 3 ATS and we also get back on the “Bet against Big Ben on the road when he is a 6 or more favorite” trend that has worked out since 2015 (which is crazy). Also, the Steelers, losers of 2 of their last 3 (and really should be 3 if Doug Marrone wasn’t such a nit..at least the Jags covered) won’t have James Conner for this one, instead having a backup TE in Samuels carry the load at RB.

Los Angeles -14 (-110)
The Bengals suck. Also, the Chargers are playing darn well.

Chiefs vs Ravens Under 51
No K.Hunt, rookie QB for BAL, good defense in Baltimore…..probably a rock fight win for the Chiefs here

TEASER +140:
Miami +8
Kansas City -7
New Orleans -9

DFS:

NCAA:

Army/Navy Under 40 (-125)
This will probably crash to 36.5 or even lower before gametime. The UNDER has hit 12 times in a row in this game, and the also under has hit in all Commander-in-Chief darbys (Air Force, Navy, Army) this year.

UFC 231:

Shevchenko vs Joanna Fight Goes to Distance – YES @ -215