Category: UFC

Bellator PPV and UFC OKC

Bellator PPV:

Lorenz Larkin vs Douglas Lima – Will the fight go the distance YES @ -120

Chinzo Machida +210

Parlay +507
Michael Chandler-800, Matt Mitrione -135, Chinzo Machida +210

UFC OKC (Sunday Night):

Tim Boetsch +175

Johnny Hendricks missed weight AGAIN! And he moved up from 170 to 185 for this very reason. #fail

CFL (2-0 so far!):

BC v EDM Over 59 (-110)

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UFC Fight Night and Belmont Stakes

Derek Brunson vs Daniel Kelly Will the fight go the distance? – YES @ +115

Mark Hunt wins by KO, TKO, DQ +140

The Belmont Stakes:

Gormley 8-1

NHL BONUS:

PIT +120 (hedge as a part of my NSH +145 series bet)

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UFC Fight Night (Day?) in Stockholm

Omari Akhmedov +195

Parlay +395:

Alexander Gustafsson-300
Pedro Munhoz -752
Omari Akhmedov +195

NHL thoughts tomorrow!

UFC 211

Maia vs Masvidal Over Rounds 1.5 -240

Yair Rodriguez EVEN

Parlay +240:

Antigulov-425
Jedrzeczyk -180
Rodriguez EVEN

UFC and NHL Saturday

NHL:

Bruins at Ottawa Over 5 +120

First off, NHL playoff unders are so far 1-9-2 O/U….and I think that will be the play for most of this series. But, considering the dynamic of Ottawa needing a win and the Bruins having injuries in the defense pairings, this should be a more open game today as Ottawa will be desperate to score goals even in Guy Boucher’s nitty neutral zone system.

UFC on FOX Kansas City:

Parlay @ +298: Souza -240, Johnson -699, Collier +120

Roy Nelson +125

Also, as a side note: if you do take the longshot Reis tonight in the title match, make sure to bet the “win by submission” prop. He is a jiu-jitsu maven and no one in the world is going to beat Mighty Mouse Johnson in a decision since he is the fastest fighters in the UFC. A shock win here will come via sub for Reis, and you’ll get more odds on that as supposed to the straight up +450.

EPL BONUS:

Stoke v Hull Over 2.5 +110

UFC 210

Brooks vs Oliveira Goes the Distance – Yes @ -105

Daniel Cormier wins by decision +525

Anthony Johnson wins by decision +775

Parlay +395: Kamaru Usman-285, Myles Jury -450, Pearl Gonzalez +200

UFC Fight Night Brazil and NCAACB Saturday

UFC Fight Night Brazil:

“Will There Be a Draw on the Card? – Yes” @ +1000

Over Total KO/TKO’s on Card 4.5 @ -120

Joe Soto +160

PARLAY @ +378: Sergio Moraes -230, Trinaldo +150, Paulo Henrique Costa -300

NCAA CB:

UPenn +7.5 and in TEASER with Under 128 (vs Princeton)

UFC 209

Evans wins by 3 Round Decision +160

Hunt vs Overeem Over Rounds 1.5 -120

PARLAY @ +195:

Lando Vannata -350 and Tyron Woodley +115

UFC 208

Anderson Silva +120

Parlay (+160):

Randy Brown -145
Wilson Reis -600
Ronaldo Souza -550

Week 14 NFL Plays

Seahawks at Packers Over 46.5

It’s going to be cold in Green Bay on Sunday, but I expect points to be scored in this one as both teams lost big defensive players to injury (SS Earl Thomas for the Seahawks; LB Nick Perry for Packers). RB Thomas Rawls comes back for the Seahawks vs the Packers’ milquetoast run defense. These games are always competitive and back and forth. One of the great slate of games for this week.

Miami -1 (-105)

The Arizona Cardinals make a cross country trip for a 1 o’clock game vs a team who plays in hot weather that got their ass kicked last week. The Cardinals are one of my “Teams Already Packed Up for the Holidays” and will most likely be partying the night before at the various wonderful establishments on South Beach. SS Tyrann Mathieu is out for Arizona. Miami is still in the WC hunt and needs a win, and I expect one here.

Washington -1 (-105)

The Eagles’ young team has been reeling the last few weeks as their lack of depth is now catching up to them. Washington gets super route runner TE Jordan Reed back for this game, and I expect a rebound for Kirk Cousins and company.

Houston +6.5 (-110)

I hate taking this shitty Texans team on the road, but in this shitty AFC South division vs a shitty Colts team where it’s a must win for both of these shitty teams, I expect a low scoring, close, shitty game.

Browns ML +290 and TEASER: Browns +12.5 and Under 43.5

As we talked about on the Miracle Covers podcast a few weeks ago, the Browns win in their schedule comes against the lowly Bengals…and we said this BEFORE they lost WR A.J. Green and RB Geo Bernard. The Browns get Robert Griffin III back (I dunno if that’s good or bad) but they are coming off a bye (in Week 13?) and it either this game, or when the Chargers come into Cleveland in a few weeks, that is the *win* in this season. The Browns are not the 2008 Detroit Lions, IMO the worst team of all time. They are a bad team, but they aren’t *that* bad; at least they have some talent like WR Pryor Sr, LB Jamie Collins, RB Isiah Crowell, etc. It’s also going to be snowing Sunday in Cleveland, so I am going to put the Browns line (+6.5) in a teaser with the under as well. Disclosure: I may have a gambling problem.

TEASER (+160):

ATL -6
GB/SEA Over 46.5
SD +8

UFC BONUS:

Marc Diakiese vs Frankie Perez Under 1.5 Rounds +145

Max Holloway -200
Pettis missed weight today by 3 lbs this morning. Holloway is the best 145 lb guy in the division now that McGregor has moved up in weight. I’ll pay the juice and Holloway gets the belt here, IMO vs Pettis who is 1-3 in his last 4 fights.

NCAA BONUS:

Army vs Navy Under 47

The Under in this game has hit 10 out of the last 11. Also, a good tip: its +EV to take a under in an Armed Forces college derby, as these teams play for the “Commander’s Cup” each time, as well as the fact that Armed Forces team usually have run-heavy option attacks due to recruiting issues.