Category: NFL

Sunday

Really enjoying the Sunday morning Falcons-Lions affair, though the Lions are clearly jetlagged. We need more late night west coast games too, preferably involving the Raiders.

One confirmed play so far as I am working through the numbers like an underpaid analyst here on a Sunday morning. Updates as we go along and there will hopefully be a west coast hockey game tonight. Also a sincere apology from me for missing the over of the year in the Stars/Islanders game which finished 7-5, smushing the over by 6 goals. I don’t normally bet totals in NHL and so didn’t even think about this until after the game had started Neither team plays very much defense and both will at least be in the top 5 in goals scored at the end of the year. Dallas doesn’t have enough quality top 4 defensemen, but the Islanders just have too many forwards that simply don’t work hard enough without the puck. Islanders need an faceoff guy as well.

Buffalo +3 -115 @ Jets
Colts @ Steelers +3.5 -105

UPDATE: Sharks +135 @ Anaheim

Week 8 NFL

ATL +3 (late to this one but I woke up at 9am and saw that “Holy shit, DET has their #1 and 3 WR, and all of their TEs out!  They essentially signed the TE they traveled with just b/c he had a passport!”)

BAL/CIN under 45

GB +1 (EVEN)

OAK v CLE Under 43.5 (EVEN)

CAR +6

TEASER (+175):

BUF +3

GB +1

BAL/CIN Under 45

And in the spirit of miracle covers, here’s how Lou got screwed over for some of the runs in his under lats night:

Friday

No plays and nothing worth mentioning in any of the five games in the NHL tonight. Cautiously optimistic for Saturday and there should be some NFL games come Sunday. The games i listed but didn’t bet yesterday went 3-1 so that counts in fantasyland.

Sad Thursday

No plays again tonight unfortunately. Islanders, Nashville, Vancouver and Arizona are all leaners in order of worst to best value but none look like they are going to make it to the playable side. There is a NFL game also not bettable. 4-5 +1.1 so far for NHL. NFL has been awful to date 4-8 -3.51. MLB Regular season if I didn’t post it already finished 41-40 +3.72 and the playoffs were 1-0 +1.5. Hopefully better luck tomorrow.

Week 7

Green Bay -7 EVEN (now at -6 @ -120)

CIN +3 (+115)

SD v KC Over 45.5 -110

Teaser:

Bills – 6, GB -6, BAL -7, SEA -7, DEN -7 @ +350

Parlay:

JAX +6, GB -6, SD -190, DEN -280, DEN v SF Over 47.5 @ +550

Saturday

I assume most or none of you care that our Alberta leans were 0-2 yesterday.  Sean is correct about today’s games, we are staying on the Islanders as they are only slightly inferior to the Penguins.  Islanders +140 @ Pittsburgh.  Colorado +140 is a lean at Montreal.  NFL late tonight or early in the morning.

UPDATE: An NFL play for tomorrow Cincinnati +3 +105 @ Indy

 

Leans

I like the Oilers +165 tonight at Arizona (they lost 7-4 #meh….but the fucking Oilers scored 4 goals!  That should win me something in principle!).

Also a weather alert: the under in tomorrow’s NE vs NYJ game at 44.5 AND 45 (it is going to be raining with high winds expected all game; also the Pats are missing 3 OL and their starting RB, and the Jets are the Jets).  A teaser with NE -10 might be in order as well.

Interesting action on the O/U line tonight:

Miracle Cover Sunday

If you ever read a story with the words, “Floyd Mayweather did well,” combined with, “Vegas bookmakers lost…” it probably holds true that Lou also lost money on the same events.

Two last-second interceptions returned for touchdowns by the Denver Broncos and Arizona Cardinals delivered million-dollar blows to Las Vegas sports books, including a $600,000 hit from boxing champ Floyd Mayweather Jr.

I was lamenting ending up with a poor line for both the Jets and Washington, but it didn’t make a difference in the end.  I shrugged my shoulders at the Geno Smith INT in the early games, but was a bit flustered after INT #2 in the afternoon, especially as I thought Arizona had run out the clock.  I also think I saw a 23-20 final posted at some point.  I’m reminded of the day 4-5 years ago when I refused to let Sean & Pat leave the bar with the Lions down 10 (but covering) in Seattle with under a minute to play and no other games to be found because “I was sweating a Matt Stafford Pick-Six.”  He promptly threw said interception two plays later and I went home winless that day too.

And it was a miracle cover.

Four games in hockey including Avs-Bruins which has already started.  No plays out of the bunch.  Kansas City might be playable in baseball but it’s far too early to tell and will be close if it turns out to be good.  Rams are the side to be on tonight at home to San Francisco and I’ll update if I end up taking them.

UPDATE: 49ers @ Rams +4 -115 Good price and a good line, we’ll see if the result works out.

 

Sunday

1-1 on our hockey plays yesterday pushing us to 1-3 for the season.  Ottawa was a winner in the shootout, but Winnipeg was never in the game versus San Jose losing 3-0.  Our initial NFL experiment was a failure with both the Redskins and Jets lines moving in the opposite direction, but that’s probably just an indication I picked the wrong teams this week.  Nothing doing on either NHL game later today.

NFL Week 7

SD -7.5 at OAK

ATL -3 vs CHI

NYG vs PHI Over 50.5

MIA ML +135

Parlay (2.50 to win 50)