Alabama is a slight favorite against LSU in the Championship game. There is a chance that the computer simulations are picking ‘Bama. Pretty sure, though, this is as strong an indicator you can find as to how married Vegas often is to betting tendencies. (Always fun to write “married” and “Vegas” in the same sentence) [...]
Want to throw some dap Louis’ way. Back about a month and a half ago Louis proclaimed “Stanford cannot tackle.” He went on to say he would take Oregon whenever the two played. His analysis was spot on. Stanford’s inability to tackle (and Andrew Luck being exposed) was probably the difference in last night’s game. [...]
Talked last week about the half dozen teams in college that were roughly 2 TD home faves, let’s check out how things went down. Akron (1-7) 3 @ Miami OH (3-5) 35 Louisville (4-4) 38 @ West Virginia (6-2) 35 Duke (3-5) 14 @ Miami FL (4-4) 49 Vanderbilt (4-4) 21 @ Florida (4-4) 26 [...]
We are going to look at a very specific group here, games where the home team is essentially a 2 TD favorite. Everyone is playing opponents from their own conference. Akron (1-7) @ Miami OH (3-5) Louisville (4-4) @ West Virginia (6-2) Duke (3-5) @ Miami FL (4-4) Vanderbilt (4-4) @ Florida (4-4) Texas Tech [...]
The opening line on LSU/Alabama is ‘Bama -4.5. I made a somewhat vague promise to myself that if I was more than a point off in either direction on this line I would bet the game so it looks like I am taking LSU. Couple of boring points about the line… It is a night [...]
Sometimes you bet a team simply because they are in a game they essentially have to win or their season is in the crapper. Last week this could be seen in the NFL in the Eagles/Redskins game where if Philly loses they go to 1-5 and for all intents and purposes they are done. This [...]
Nothing has happened over the last couple weeks to make me want to move the line we originally set on LSU, ALabama. Anything can happen in the SEC in the month before this game, but at this point I still like where we are. If this game was today Vegas might lean towards -3 on [...]
The annual college football apocalypse game this year looks to be LSU vs. Alabama on Nov 5th. Gonna keep a running tab on the Tigers and Tide throughout October to see where the line of the game would be were the game to be held at that moment. There is every chance that my guess [...]
For anyone looking to be humbled on the subject of college football I would encourage you to stumble upon the site “Pre-Snap Read“ It is beyond impressively run by Paul Myerberg who it seems is a college football guru for the New York Times. I am still uncertain how much of his material is subscribed [...]
I am going to post whenever I see a game where I feel there was a potential precedent set at some point. They will be called Maxim games. The Maxim scenario here involves… Team A is a very strong team playing at home. Team B is their even more talented opponent. Team B is so [...]