Miracle Covers Winning at Sports

Louis raped Vegas and myself by taking Duke at 15-1, 10-1 and 9-1 (with me) to win the National Championship at different stages before the tournament started.  I would never have placed any of those bets, kudos to Louis.

Here we go.
Cornell (+8.5) “@” Kentucky
So apparently whoever the higher seed is, is labeled the home team.  This Cornell line is interesting.  I actually think it is very accurate, but what makes me like Cornell here is that I feel they have a much higher chance of winning than most 8 to 9 point underdogs.  [...]

Absolutely nothing doing on these Sweet 16 or NIT games. Butler looks to have peaked at +7.5 against Syracuse. It was a lean for me at that number, I’d have played it at 8, but it’s back down to 6.5 and a pass like the rest of the games. Northern Iowa is [...]

We clinched our Big East under with Pittsburgh losing to Xavier in the late game yesterday. That leaves the maximum Big East wins available at 15 and even that would require Syracuse meeting West Virginia in the championship game. It more than makes up for a disappointing round two gambling-wise. Of course, [...]

Worried about a top seed who nearly lost in round 1? Here’s something to consider.
There are two schools of thought on being tested by a lesser opponent early in the tourney. The optimistic view is that a close game like that serves as a useful wake-up call, and that most teams play [...]

Bookmaker has a prop up listing how many games each conference will win in this year’s NCAA tournament. My initial instinct was 7 1/2 wins for the ACC was way too low. The best (or second best) conference has six teams! How can they only be expected to win 7 or 8 [...]

Following up on Pat’s post, below records against the spread for selected teams this year compared to their actual record the past two seasons:

There have been some attempts to try and predict teams by using the number of minutes returning and then a variable to represent the quality of freshmen, but I’m not aware of [...]

It is THAT time of year again!
NCAA THEME
You know Gus Johnson is ready, even in games where the outcome is already decided!  You know it must be March!  Just make sure you don’t bet any games Steve Lavin is announcing in, you might get coolered.
The pool is a $10 buy-in, must be paid by the [...]

I think this is the important gambling point I am going to take away from college basketball this year.  With most legitimate players having a shelf-life of one to two years, it seems that college basketball programs are more susceptible to year-by-year fluctuations in talent than virtually any other gambling related sport.  Consequently, even good [...]

So yesterday I went 1-4.  There were actually six games but the Philly one was not listed Sunday morning, we will ignore that game and pretend it didn’t happen.  Accordingly, I finished the week at 28-24-1, or at 54%  Which I think means that if I had placed thirty dollar bets on everything, and everything [...]