Category: Baseball
UFC 252 and Super Saturday plays
UFC 252:
Merab Dvalishvili vs John Dodson Fight Goes Distance – YES @ -300
Jim Miller wins by Submission +225
NHL:
Vegas Golden Knights @ Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 6 (-105)
MLB:
Red Sox at Yankees OVER 9 (-110)
Miracle Covers COVID Special
We got a new podcast!
Lou (@miraclecovers) and Sean (@Seanismoney) talk about our new COVID world as it pertains to betting, our thoughts on the Champions League restart, why the NBA bubble is fun and our plays going into the playoffs, why MLB baseball is strange with no fans where no one under the age of 40 is watching, and why the NCAA sucks.
MLB over/unders
A stark visual for “game of inches” when you see over/unders during a 60 game stretch. There are outliers but there is very little social distancing going on here. Only team not listed…of course…has to be the Mets. Im guessing this had something to do with folks wanting to make sure deGrom was healthy.
Arizona (31.5)
Atlanta (33.5)
Baltimore (20.5) U -135
Boston (30.5) U -150
CHC (32)
CWS (32.5)
Cincinnati (32) O -150
Cleveland (33.5)
Colorado (27.5)
Detroit (21.5) O -165
Houston (35)
KC (24.5) O-135
LAA (32)
LAD (38.5)
Miami (24.5) U -135
Milwaukee (30.5) O -150
Minnesota (34.5) O -150
NYY (37.5)
Oakland (33.5)
Philadelphia (31)
Pittsburgh (25.5) U -145
San Diego (30.5) O -130
SFG (24.5) U -135
Seattle (24.5) U -135
StL (31.5) O -145
Tampa Bay (34)
Texas (29.5)
Toronto (28) U -135
Washington (33)
UFC Fight Night 172 and Korean Baseball
UFC Fight Night 172
Kevin Holland -115
Angela Lee +200
Korean Baseball Organization:
NC Dinos vs SK Wyverns UNDER 9 (-110)
And now, because we all need a laugh during these weird COVIDpalooza times, here’s a video of the best own goals in English Premier League history
Week 5 NFL
NY Giants +6
Was at +5, now +6. Minnesota, on the road, isn’t 3 points better than any team not MIA or WSH right now. And the Giants have been playing well since Jones took over at QB.
Oakland vs Chicago UNDER 41
Game is being played at the new White Hart Lane. These teams probably score more than Spurs did this weekend.
New England -17 (EVEN)
I usually take the other side of these big lines based off math….but not vs Washington, a bad team with a bad owner and a bad coach who came out the other day and literally said, “I have no QBs” when he has 3 on the roster. Jay Gruden will probably be the first coach fired IMO.
TEASER +150:
Bears -7
Chargers -5
Jags +3
DFS:
MLB BONUS:
Tampa Bay ML +130
Belmont Stakes, UFC 238, MLB
MLB:
Cubs vs Cards OVER 7.5 (EVEN)
Belmont Stakes:
Sir Winston 12/1
War of Will 2/1
UFC 238:
Tatiana Suarez Wins by Inside Distance -140
Tony Ferguson wins by submission +480
PARLAY BOXING + UFC (-277):
Tatiana Suarez (-750)
Valentina Shevchenko (-1100)
Gennady Golovkin (-3500)
Robson Conceicao (-5000)
Ali Akhmedov (-3500)
Israil Madrimov (-5000)
MLB Over/Unders
Normally do 10 of these guys, but Im going to just go with a few this year. Change is good, maybe 28 or 29 next year. Will update with any more that strike fancy before respective first pitches.
Twins Over 83.5 – The AL Central is looking borderline brutal these days. Salvador Perez needing TJ surg would seem to encapsulate this division well. Minnesota will continue to miss Eduardo Escobar but this roster looks entirely competent amidst a sea of mediocrity. Team almost won 80 games last year with Buxton production less than zero. Genuinely like Mejia and Perez in bullpen ready to help out. Also I do not know this for fact at all, but I would put money on Baldelli being a better game manager and players coach than Molitor.
Astros Under 96.5 – We hit on the Astros Over last year because they were seemingly a team devoid of weaknesses. IMO this cannot be said this year, especially re: pitching. Outside of Cole I trust no one in this rotation. Verlander turned 36 in February and simply cannot be counted on to replicate his stats of the previous year and a half. No McCullers and no Morton = Miley, Peacock, and McHugh. Not impressive. Reddick managed to hit .242 in that lineup last year? I think hes about done. Chirinos sexy but likely overrated.
Game 6 Trend
Milwaukee ML EVEN
The Brewers come home for a Game 6 tonight down 3-2 with Wade Miley on the mound. The only real concern for me is that he was taken out after 5 pitches LAST GAME…it makes for the first time in 88 years a pitcher started back to back games.
I love taking this spot, a Game 6 team coming home down 3-2. They usually play their best game because the goal is to force the end all Game 7 (where the home team usually loses to, in my view, due to the adrenaline dump from Game 6). I have been doing this bet since the 2006 Mets, where Tom Glavine pitched a gem to force a Game 7 (which the Mets lost 1-0). It’s been consistent for me ever since, and I will stay the course tonight.
Thirsty Thursday
MLB:
Boston at Houston Over 8 (EVEN)
NHL:
Bruins -125
NBA:
Lakers ML +125
Also probably big baseball bet tomorrow as we get a team down 3-2 going home in a Game 6 (a bet that has done me well over the years)
