Author Archive

Plays for 4/8/12

I will take the Reds at -120 today against the Marlins.  Spring training numbers equal essential zilch in my book, but Zambrano was so supremely bad in March we are going to have to give him the benefit of the doubt on this one.  I will put 24 units on this. I will take 2 units on [...]

2012 MLB Over/Unders

Shit the bed in this segment last year.  Time to wash the sheets.  Rules as always, pick over/unders for ten MLB teams.  #10 pick is your high confidence pick and is worth 10 points.  The stakes, a pub crawl.  At the #10 spot this year… #10  Pittsburgh Pirates (under 73)  ”Barmes is one of the [...]

MLB Over/Unders

That time of year again…welcome to the longest running segment we have here on miraclecovers.  First, the lines.  As always, I will indicate heavy juice (120 or higher). Anaheim (LA) Angels  91.5 (over -137) Atlanta Braves  87.5 (under -145) Arizona Diamondbacks  86.5 (over -134) Baltimore Orioles  70.5 (under -139) Boston Red Sox  90.5 (under -132) [...]

BCS Championship

Alabama is a slight favorite against LSU in the Championship game.  There is a chance that the computer simulations are picking ‘Bama.  Pretty sure, though, this is as strong an indicator you can find as to how married Vegas often is to betting tendencies.  (Always fun to write “married” and “Vegas” in the same sentence)  [...]

Coach Call-Outs

Refers to the Head Coach of a team reaming his players out publicly.  Bill Self does this last night after Kansas struggles to beat Long Beach St by 8 at home.  Self slams his team (primarily the guard play) for their inability to control the ball.  How his college-aged players react to being blasted out [...]

This and Dap

Want to throw some dap Louis’ way.  Back about a month and a half ago Louis proclaimed “Stanford cannot tackle.”  He went on to say he would take Oregon whenever the two played.  His analysis was spot on.  Stanford’s inability to tackle (and Andrew Luck being exposed) was probably the difference in last night’s game.  [...]

Two Touchy Home Faves Revisited

Talked last week about the half dozen teams in college that were roughly 2 TD home faves, let’s check out how things went down. Akron (1-7) 3 @ Miami OH (3-5) 35 Louisville (4-4) 38 @ West Virginia (6-2) 35 Duke (3-5) 14 @ Miami FL (4-4) 49 Vanderbilt (4-4) 21 @ Florida (4-4) 26 [...]

Two Touchy Home Favorites

We are going to look at a very specific group here, games where the home team is essentially a 2 TD favorite.  Everyone is playing opponents from their own conference. Akron (1-7) @ Miami OH (3-5) Louisville (4-4) @ West Virginia (6-2) Duke (3-5) @ Miami FL (4-4) Vanderbilt (4-4) @ Florida (4-4) Texas Tech [...]

Game of the Year

The opening line on LSU/Alabama is ‘Bama -4.5.  I made a somewhat vague promise to myself that if I was more than a point off in either direction on this line I would bet the game so it looks like I am taking LSU.  Couple of boring points about the line… It is a night [...]

Gotta Win Game

Sometimes you bet a team simply because they are in a game they essentially have to win or their season is in the crapper.  Last week this could be seen in the NFL in the Eagles/Redskins game where if Philly loses they go to 1-5 and for all intents and purposes they are done. This [...]