The World Cup just kicked off 45 minutes ago with South Africa and Mexico tied 0-0 at half. Some various bets I’m recommending so far: Uruguay to win Group A +350 This one is already off the board as Group A starts today, but this was also available at +400. Even odds for a team [...]
April is traditionally a slow gambling month. Despite the NHL and NBA playoffs kicking off, there’s not usually much action to be found. Thankfully, a couple of items have popped up for this weekend: Les Habitants From Puck Prospectus: December 19th is the line of demarcation for me. That’s when Montreal’s prime mover, defenseman Andrei [...]
I’ve never done well betting on baseball games. Sure, I’m smart enough to know that when an overmatched scrub shortstop is up against a hard throwing closer, strikeouts and popups will result(or as Chip Caray would say, “Fisted!”). Translating that into an appreciable edge is something I’ll leave to gamblers braver than I. These annual [...]
The 156th Oxford-Cambridge boat race takes place tomorrow in London. Oxford are favored at roughly -250, but picking the winner isn’t the most interesting play. Pinnacle has a line (below) for “Will a Boat Sink?” currently at -1650. I know most of you don’t enjoy betting large favorites, but a boat has only sunk 5 [...]
Absolutely nothing doing on these Sweet 16 or NIT games. Butler looks to have peaked at +7.5 against Syracuse. It was a lean for me at that number, I’d have played it at 8, but it’s back down to 6.5 and a pass like the rest of the games. Northern Iowa is +1.5 against a [...]
We clinched our Big East under with Pittsburgh losing to Xavier in the late game yesterday. That leaves the maximum Big East wins available at 15 and even that would require Syracuse meeting West Virginia in the championship game. It more than makes up for a disappointing round two gambling-wise. Of course, even though my [...]
Worried about a top seed who nearly lost in round 1? Here’s something to consider. There are two schools of thought on being tested by a lesser opponent early in the tourney. The optimistic view is that a close game like that serves as a useful wake-up call, and that most teams play such a [...]
Bookmaker has a prop up listing how many games each conference will win in this year’s NCAA tournament. My initial instinct was 7 1/2 wins for the ACC was way too low. The best (or second best) conference has six teams! How can they only be expected to win 7 or 8 games? Wayne Winston [...]
Following up on Pat’s post, below records against the spread for selected teams this year compared to their actual record the past two seasons: There have been some attempts to try and predict teams by using the number of minutes returning and then a variable to represent the quality of freshmen, but I’m not aware [...]
Full day today at the Sloan Conference. I’ll have lots coming in the next week or two. For now you can catch twitter links here. Truehoop has a writeup on all panels basketball here. Completely unrelated, it seems as though the European Poker Tour was recently robbed of over a million euros during a live [...]