Weekend Plays

Not sure how many plays will happen this weekend.  ATM (At the moment) only have New Mexico St +17.5 @ Arkansas.  New Mexico St is surprisingly competent against the run, which is Arkansas’ preferred attack.  I will talk myself into some increasingly sketchy plays throughout the weekend, stay tuned.

UPDATE 1…Sketchy Bet Scale (4/10)

New Mexico St @ Arkansas Under 61.5 -116

This would be an absolutely legitimate, 1 out of 10 on the sketchy bet scale, if it wasn’t for our previous action.  Now to hit both bets we need something like 30-21.  Hence (4/10).  NMSt’s point totals this year are deceptive, both on offense and defense.

UPDATE 2…Sketchy Scale (2.5/10)

Bills +8 -108

Both NM St and the Under would have hit with “Just One Fucking Stop.”  JOFS may sound like a sabermetriccy, analytical deally.  “The Knicks are hitting under 40% on JOFS for the season.”  No.  It also sounds like it should be plural.  Again, no, it is very much a singular event.  JOFS is a favorite of Unders and Underdogs.  When Oklahoma St is favored by 47 over UAB, at some point, you are going to need JOFS.  We didnt get it yesterday.  I really like the Bills here.  ALL of the money is going on Atlanta and yet the line has gone down from 9.5 to 8.  The only slight drag is we didnt get it at the original spread.

UPDATE 3…Sketch Scale (3/10)

Lions @ Vikings -2.5 -108

Pretty normal bet, except we are not only banking on Case Keenum playing well, but doing it for the second week in a row.  Veteran journeymen usually are not the most consistent bunch.  They sign a deal, get thrown into action, and pull a couple games of Fitzmagic out of their ass here and there to earn another contract somewhere else.  Interesting to view the Lions’ mojo after losing in brutal fashion last week.