NFL Week 6
This is down to +8 now. Both Lou and Cousin Sal have this as one of their locks of the week. I even wanted to tease Pittsburgh (and so does everybody in America)….but this is always the type of game where they puke on themselves, especially on the road. Pittsburgh is 2-10 vs the number he last 12 times they have been a 7+ point favorite on the road; and they’ve even lost some of those games, so the ML (+360) is even in play here IMO. And you know the Steelers are going to be partying on South Beach once they land in Miami, could be a hangover effect there. The majority of the public is on Pittsburgh. Miami is atrocious in many areas, but I think they’ll at least be able to throw the ball against a shitty Steeler secondary and keep it close at home.
Kansas City +1
This is now at -1 KC. The Chiefs travel to Oakland after getting the shit kicked out of them in Pittsburgh 2 weeks ago. They are coming off a bye, and Andy Reid is 15-2 in his career coming off the bye week. Oakland maybe without Latavius Murray, and KC gets back Jamaal Charles (he played last week, but was on a pitch count). He’ll actually get some more touches this week, and I think is a DFS punt vs an Oakland defense who has a hard time stopping the pass. Denver lost last night, and that will give them some extra motivation vs an Oakland team also still in the AFC West hunt, but for some reason has struggled at home (actually, it isn’t a mystery: the Oakland Coliseum is a dump).
Saints vs Panthers Over 53
Cam Newton is probably not playing, but I don’t give a shit. I think even Derek Anderson can throw 2-3 TDs vs this shitty New Orleans offense, and the Carolina offense gets Jonathan Stewart back, which should be a boost. Carolina’s secondary has been suspect this year, and the Saints can always score a 30 spot at home, especially coming off a bye where they get guys back healthy like WR Willie Snead.
I also noted on the podcast I liked Washington +3 (-130) at home this week as well vs Philly, BUT their star TE and chain mover Jordan Reed is questionable with a concussion. If he doesn’t play, I’ll stay away as the Washington offense is probably cooked vs a surprisingly good Philly defense.
Chicago Blackhawks +115 ML
Toronto at Cleveland Over 7.5 -105