Month: March 2015
March 30
Still silent here on the hockey front as the regular season creeps to an end. A lot of our models break down toward the end of the season with a larger gap in between teams contending versus not that we haven’t been able to model effectively. Working on baseball here the past few days and into this week.
Will post any plays that may come up. Oilers are a lean at +175 tonight.
Over? Under?? I hardly know her!!
Going to save comment on these until making picks in about a week. Detroit and Philly are no-shows at the moment…
Arizona Diamondbacks 72.5
Atlanta Braves 73.5
Baltimore Orioles 82.5 (Over -127)
Boston Red Sox 85.5 (Over -124)
Chicago Cubs 82.5 (Over -127)
Chicago White Sox 81.5 ( Over -125)
Cincinnati Reds 78.5 (Under -149)
Cleveland Indians 82.5 (Over -161)
Colorado Rockies 71.5 (Over -141)
Houston Astros 75.5 (Over -129)
Kansas City Royals 80.5 (Over -121)
Los Angeles Angels 88.5 (Under -133)
Los Angeles Dodgers 92.5 (Under -133)
Miami Marlins 81.5 (Over -136)
Milwaukee Brewers 79.5 (Under -133)
Minnesota Twins 70.5 (Over -172)
New York Mets 81.5 (Over -133)
New York Yankees 81.5
Oakland Athletics 81.5 (Over -125)
Pittsburgh Pirates 83.5 (Over -159)
San Diego Padres 84.5 (Under -124)
San Francisco Giants 84.5 (Under -159)
Seattle Mariners 86.5 (Over -146)
St Louis Cardinals 87.5
Tampa Bay Rays 79.5
Texas Rangers 76 (Under -123)
Toronto Blue Jays 82.5
Washington Nationals 93.5
Thirsty Thursday
NCAA:
North Carolina +6
NHL:
VAN v COL UNDER 5 (+125)
PARLAY:
UNC ML +240 and VAN v COL UNDER 5 +650
Good luck in all of your NCAA pools tonight; since most picked UK (I did), it really comes down to getting at least 3 out of 4 of your Final Four right, and the title game right. And if UK loses, then if your team wins you probably cash at some level.
March 26
One of our subtle enjoyments here at miracle Covers is betting on failure, and we’re happily getting the opportunity to be involved in some crappy NHL games tonight. In tankapolooza, we have Arizona visiting Buffalo and we are taking UNDER 5 +105 and in another relatively crap game, Colorado @ Vancouver UNDER 5 +120, both for 1/2u. Good luck to all tonight.
March 25
No plays yesterday and nothing again today as we wind down the season. Lots of games that would be plays are excluded here in March as non-playoff contending underdog teams are comparatively weaker in a lot of matchups this time of year. We are trying to pick our spots but it’s been sparse the past few weeks. Or coinflip on Colorado was a loser on Monday 3-2.
Hopefully some action tomorrow.
March 23
Back with some hockey plays tonight. Thanks to Sean for running things with a correct sport the past few days. We have a weighted coinflip in Calgary as Colorado visits getting +120. I have this as a 50:50 game so feel free to scale your own wager accordingly. Devils and Hurricanes are options for sadists, of which I am not.
NCAA Sunday
Went 1-6 yesterday ugh….but we did hit 2 on the UFC bets, which salvaged the day.
Here’s what I like:
UVA -4.5 (-105)
KU vs WSU Over 135
Dayton +165
NCAA Saturday
Nice rebound Saturday! Went 9-7, and hit a ML (Dayton) which pretty much broke me back to even, money wise, for this NCAA. Record wise, I am 16-22. Let’s see if we can get to .500 today!
UAB +6
UK -16.5
TEASER: UAB +6 + UK -16.5
Villanova -9.5
Arizona -9
Georgia State +7 (also in parlay with the coach falling off his stool again)
Coach falling out of his chair!! Georgia St. vs. Baylor https://t.co/AjdVPiRANh
— Steve Noah (@Steve_OS) March 19, 2015
UFC (in Brazil, so going with the Brazilian underdog trend):
Jorge “Blade” De Oliveira +160
Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira + 425
Godofredo “Pepey” Pepey +250
Rise and Fire, pt 2
First of all, what a great day yesterday in basketball. Great games all around; really helped taking the beating I took yesterday not seem as bad. 7-13 overall this NCAA after starting 0-7. Like the many comebacks in this tournament, I feel a run coming on today!
We did have VCU, celebrating like these folks in Vegas after a meaningless layup at the buzzer (alas, my Cincy/Purdue under got reverse miracle covered):
VCU covers the spread & the crowd at @LVSuperBook Westgate Theater goes wild. #OhioState #VCUrams pic.twitter.com/zCcUVpWvnE
— Tommy Lorenzo (@sportsbooktom) March 19, 2015
Here are the plays today:
New Mexico State +10
Michigan State -6
Wyoming vs N.Iowa Over 111
West Virginia -6
Indiana vs Wichita St Under 140
Belmont +17
Valpo +175
Louisville -8
OK St vs Oregon Over 136
Robert Morris +22.5
Albany +13
Iowa -2
Coastal Carolina v Wisconsin Under 130
Dayton +140 (they are in Columbus, another de facto home game!)
SD State -180
Gonzaga -18
March 19
I am clearly a secret Canadian, posting about hockey in March instead of being a proper American and delving into the NCAA tournament in all its glory. Some actual plays tonight breaking a lengthy streak of zeroes:
All 1/2u plays:
Detroit @ Florida -110
St. Louis/Winnipeg UNDER 5 -105
Colorado @ Arizona +145
