Month: December 2014
NYE
The amateur football games are getting better but the bet quality is not as its much easier to pick a side when the public is clearly on one team over another. Two plays today:
Mississippi +3.5 and Boise +3
Apologies about the NBA play yesterday as Cleveland moved to 8 and pushed with Lebron out.
UPDATE: Mississippi got smushed 42-3. NHL play this afternoon Florida +140. I’ve got nothing on GA Tech/Miss St.
Happy New Year.
Tuesday
We had a 2-1 day in both hockey and tackle football as our early plays were all winners and the late games were not close. Again with the unorthodox scheduling today so getting the early game up now while I have some time:
Notre Dame +8
We have leans on both of the other underdogs today, Louisville and Maryland, though no idea whether they will be plays or not.
UPDATE: Passing on Louisville/UGA and firmly on the fence for Maryland tonight. Two confirmed plays in other sports. NHL Kings/Oilers UNDER 5 +120 and NBA because I’m an idiot Cleveland +4.5 @ Atlanta (now down to +4).
Monday
We had a nothing day in NFL action and went 0-1 in hockey as Vancouver lost in OT. There should be some more plays there this evening as well as in college football where we are starting our day with a 2u play on Texas A&M +2.5. Updates throughout the day but I think the next game is at 5 Eastern.
UPDATE 1: Late action Clemson +6.5
UPDATE 2: Texas A&M a winner in the early game. Some NHL:
Pittsburgh @ New Jersey +135
Montreal -130 @ Carolina
UPDATE 3: Texas +7 Evens
Avalanche +161
NFL Week 17
Sad day; it will be the last time this year I get to bet on shitty professional football teams.
New Orleans -4 (now at -5)
Tampa has to lose today, right? If they lose, I think they get the #1 pick. Lovie Smith not laying down here to get that pick is a fireable offense, IMO.
Green Bay -7 (now at -7.5)
Lions are missing their center Dominic Raiola today (because he’s the dirtiest player in the league and got suspended before the biggest game of the year), and I get to bet against Matthew Stafford and Jim Caldwell with Aaron Rodgers. The Lions last win in Green Bay? 1991, with Mike Tomczak at QB.
Seattle -12 and in Teaser with Under 41.5
If they win today, they get the #1 seed. We have Seattle at 13/2 to win the NFC, and if they get homefield, they’ll have a great chance to go back to the Super Bowl. The only team with any chance to beat them in that building are the Cowboys (I can’t believe I just typed that). They beat them early this year and have a huge advantage against Seattle’s weakness: they can be run on (Dallas has a great O-Line and D.Murray at RB).
Baltimore -14
Big line, but Cleveland apparently were out partying last night, thanks to our boy Johnny Manziel. Josh Gordon and Justin Gilbert are out today (hungover) and South Carolina’s Connor Shaw (who can’t pass, but can run), starts. Mike Pettine has lost his team 5 weeks too late for us Cleveland under bettors.
What if Manziel only served craft beer at the party? That would make it a little bit better, right?
— NunesMagician.com (@NunesMagician) December 28, 2014
Fun prop bet: So Chase Daniel is starting today for KC at home vs SD. Alex Smith hasn’t throw a touchdown to a Wide Receiver……..ALL YEAR. Do you know how hard that is? In either case, I am taking these props:
Dwayne Bowe Catches TD +250
Bowe First TD 12/1
Albert Wilson* First TD 14/1
*I have no fucking idea who this guy is.
I might also take the Titans +7.5; Indy resting everybody today.
TEASER:
GB -7
HOU -8
NO -5
NFL Week 17
Looks like crap for betting purposes. Titans are easily the best game on the list today and that’s not saying much. We’ll see if they get up to 9 or something before gametime. Chicago/Minnesota Over has been pushed out of range and I’m not overly excited about SD/KC over 41.
Yesterday was excellent as we went 5-0 in bowl games, 1-0 on NBA and 1-1 in hockey. NBA should have been 2-0 as I completely forgot to play Indiana who won very easily over Brooklyn. Otherwise a near perfect day. Bowl games are 10-5 +5.47 and could be even better. Just as a heads up the percentage of plays will decrease as the teams participating become more popular. I do not have anything on OSU-Alabama or Michigan St.-Baylor as examples.
Florida and Vancouver are our options in hockey today. Updates per usual in the afternoon
UPDATE: NHL Vancouver +115 @ Anaheim
Saturday
2-1 in our Boxing Day action with no close calls to speak of. Forging ahead with a full schedule today. Will likely update with hockey and basketball tonight:
Va Tech +2.5 -110
Duke +7.5 -106
South Carolina +3.5 -111 2u
Penn State +3 -105
Nebraska +7 +100
NHL: Detroit -129 @ Ottawa
Dallas is an option for those feeling adventurous but barring some significant line move I will be passing.
UPDATE: NBA Atlanta -4 @ Milwaukee
I attended Milwaukee @ Atlanta last night where the Hawks were favored by 8 or 9 and promptly lost by 30. Kyle Korver was reduced to shooting layups from 2 feet during timeouts to prove to himself he was able to get the orange ball through the orange rim. Playing Atlanta tonight because it would be very NBA-like for them to cover last night’s spread tonight instead.
UPDATE 2: San Jose +130 for 1/2u
Boxing Day
No soccer unfortunately, just some more Bowl action. Early posts today so I don’t miss any. 3-4 -0.31 so far, though we would be in the plus side if the kickoff times were standardized.
The Miracle (Cover) of Christmas
The most craziest miracle cover I maybe have ever seen just happened in the game Lou bet on, Central Michigan +3.5 vs Western Kentucky.
WKU was up 49-14 after 3 periods, and blew that lead via 5 straight TDs in the 4th quarter….including this last one which might be the play of the century:
CMU goes for 2 at the end for the win, and misses….which is a miracle cover in itself due to the fact that any college line from 4 on up is in jeopardy with their stupid “everybody gets a shot” overtime rules.
Western Kentucky ticket holders congrats: you are part of the #1 bad beat of 2014
— Todd Fuhrman (@ToddFuhrman) December 24, 2014
And it was….a miracle cover. Somewhere, Romeo Crennel is smiling.
As for me, I start my football betting tonight with Bovada’s “Bowlopoly”, where one can bet and accrue prizes and bonuses off of the property pieces.
The game tonight is the Hawaii Bowl in Honolulu, and I’ll take Fresno St +2 as well as put them in a teaser with the Over at 60.
The video above has me jacked up for the upcoming gambling season with bowl games as well as the NFL playoffs. I might try to get Lou and I to do a podcast preview for ya’ll when the wild card matchups are announced.
Merry Christmas
All winners yesterday, including the game I didn’t realize kicked off at 6pm where I would have had Marshall who won easily. Navy covered and Carolina won in a shootout. I barely got Central Michigan +3.5 posted on Twitter, much less here and they have responded by stinking things up and currently trail 28-7. NHL has the holidays off so we’ll resume here on Boxing Day in all likelihood.
