Turkey Betting Tips

Give thanks to gambling!  Here are my plays:

Chicago +7 and Bears +260

I said I would never bet on a Cutler-led team again, but the Bears woeful secondary gets Kyle Fuller back and the Lions will not have Reggie Bush this game.  Bush makes a TD difference in their PPG when he is playing as supposed to when he is not.  I also think that Jim Caldwell continues to be in a coma and somehow fucks this one up.  The Bears, as bad as they have played, actually have their season on the line today.  A win gets them back in the NFC WC hunt.  Also another thing working for me, Lou’s “kiss of death” – when all of the NFL pregame show panelists pick one team (the Lions).

PHI v DAL Under 56.5

Way too many points, should be around 50-52.5.  This will be played like a grind-it-out playoff game for the NFC East and will be in the early 20s.  Also Mark Sanchez and Tony Romo are quarterbacking these football teams.

SF -1 (-115) v SEA

This is more of a hedge towards my season long SF Under bet (10.5 – they are now at 7 wins).  I really hope the Saints setting their lead on fire at home to the 49ers a few weeks ago doesn’t cost me this bet.

On a side note – Seattle with their win last Sunday put them back in the NFC #1 seed hunt (Seattle owns a tie-breaker with GB and an Arizona collapse is imminent b/c their QB sucks despite their great defense; they really should start Logan Thomas) – if they get that #1 seed, no one beats them.  They are right now 11/2 to win the NFC.  They are a very shaky road team BUT I do think (and the video below shows this some) that the Lynch 100k “not talking to the media” fine might have galvanized them.