Month: June 2011

Jeter 3000

-300 on Jeter’s 3000th hit being a single at Bookmaker. Jeter’s extra base hit percentage since 2009 is 22%.

Baseball Bets

When Lou signed on to be my bookie a few months ago, this was probably the crap he was envisioning.  I think since the inception of this ‘Baseball Bets’ business I have had one winning day.  Normally I make 3 or 4 picks and get 2 or 3 wrong.  Good thing no actual money has been harmed in the production of this segment.  Let’s see what’s going on after an 0-3 effort yesterday…

  • 20 Units on Arizona/Pitt over 7.5 +104
  • 17 Units on Astros +107
  • 22 Units on Oakland +102

Current Unit Count : 837.76

Baseball Bets

Asked the question in my last post why pinnacle takes so long to put reverse run lines up on its MLB betting page.  It is round about 8AM EST and you could theoretically put down a bet as to who will strike out more guys in the first inning, D Lowe (+113) or Ricky Nolasco (-132) in the Braves/Marlins game.  But you cannot bet the reverse run line.

“Whaaaaaat’s the deal with that?”  J Seinfeld

If you read Lou’s take in the most recent post, you may get on him for not specifically answering the question, instead talking about the only times he finds it worth while to bet the RRL.  But by pointing out that there are so few times when RRL is worth betting on, Lou is at least partially answering the question, expressing his opinion that there is little to no advantage in these lines; in not so many words, the idea these lines “are much shakier business for The House” is largely garbagely.

I am not entirely convinced on this.  It’s not that I think there is real crazy value here, but something is weird.  So I am continuing to try to figure stuff out as I write this.  If you google “reverse run line,” these recent miraclecovers posts come up on the first page of links which should be a big indicator of how rare RRLs are.

Had 7 total bets the last time out, hitting the first 2 and losing the next 5, including all 4 Reverse Run Line bets.  How great is that.  897.76 is where I stand now.  Let’s go with…

  • 16 Units on Cleveland -150
  • 26 Units on Mets +153
  • 18 Units on Seattle/Chicago under 8 +103

Would not be shocked if I came back for some RRL action later…