2009 Week 8 NFL Picks

Denver/Baltimore Over 41.5
This is a completely neutral point total (NFL average is 42) despite the fact that neither defense is particularly good.

Houston @ Buffalo +3.5
Home underdog being shunned here against a team with a history of sucking on the road. Probably should take the moneyline here (+175ish) but I’m not that smart.

Miami +3 @ NY Jets
Still like the way Miami matches up here. It’s hard to scheme against power which is what the Dolphins are going to run the whole game.

Bonus 3-team teaser sure to fail:

Seattle @ Dallas +0.5
Carolina @ Arizona EV
Atlanta @ New Orleans -1

Parlaying all 3 moneylines here is essentially the same bet but pays out 10-12% less.

Passing Oakland and San Francisco. On Showtime’s Inside the NFL, there was extensive video of the Raiders loss to the Jets filled with running commentary from CB Nnamdi Asomugha muttering things like “All 11 were wrong on that,” and “Bad day, bad day, bad day.” He’d be one of the most popular players in the league if he played on a winning team. And am I the only person that thinks Alex Smith and Shaun Hill should platoon? Smith is capable of some of the most spectacularly bad interceptions outside of Jake Delhomme and I really don’t see how sitting on the bench for a year changes that. Hill should start and Smith should come in in relief if/when the 49ers trail and they need to complete a pass longer than 10 yards. Or maybe Hill can be converted to relief and become the first closer QB ever in the NFL? The hardest part might be find him some entrance music.

Good luck out there today.