I feel I correctly handicapped my lone pick for UFC 105 and correctly identifying that Brandon Vera’s underrated wrestling would be able to neutralize Randy Couture’s own, and that Vera’s Muay Thai skills would help him score in the clinch. Exactly as I predicted, Couture’s only real path to victory was to try to ride out a decision up against the cage.

Just as with UFC 103, I was confident I’d picked the main event correctly – right up until the judges announced the fight the other way. That’s why it’s called “gambling” and not “investment banking.”